Business Breakfast with Isaac Matshego, Nedbank and Cape Town Marriot Hotel Crystal Towers
29 May 2025
Topic: The outlook for the SA economy amid uncertain domestic and global environments
Isaac Matshego is a leading economist at Nedbank, specialising in Sub-Saharan Africa. He brings deep expertise in macroeconomics, sovereign debt, and exchange rate forecasting. Holding a master’s degree in Development Finance from the University of Cape Town, Isaac is also a well-respected media commentator on economic trends and South Africa’s role in the global economy.
While many assume economists focus solely on numbers and overlook real-life issues, Isaac disagrees. He stresses that economics is fundamentally about people – their livelihoods and well-being.
Turning to global matters, Isaac highlights the effects of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. Trump believes the US is being exploited by other nations, despite America’s dominant political and economic position in the world. Ironically, over the past two decades, US incomes have outpaced those in most other countries, and the US dollar remains globally sought after.
In April, Trump imposed a 30% import tariff on South Africa, affecting key sectors such as automotive, agriculture, mining, wine and citrus exports. This poses a significant challenge, especially considering the deep investment ties between the two countries. For example, Ford’s plant in Pretoria manufactures components for the US market. These economic links underscore the importance of South Africa’s leadership negotiating favourable trade terms to protect local industries and jobs.
Back home, South Africa’s economy has been on a gradual path to recovery since the Covid-19 pandemic, despite setbacks like 2023’s severe loadshedding and 2024’s drought conditions that hit the agricultural sector hard. At one point in 2023, the Minister of Electricity warned the country could reach stage 8 loadshedding heading into winter. However, notable improvements have been made since then. Eskom still provides 90% of the country’s electricity, but the growth of renewable energy has started to ease the strain.
Ubuntu Members can access the recording from the event! Find out more…
A big thanks to our sponsors and partners for being part of our journey!
We have a great appreciation for our event sponsor Cape Town Marriot Hotel Crystal Towers for making this event possible!
A huge thanks to our Tech and AV crew Inhouse VTM and our media crew Shed Studios for capturing our events.
To our partners Amy Foundation, Nexia SAB&T, Sure Travel, Glue Up, Paysoft Impact, International Hotel School and WORD Magazine we truly value our collaborations together!
Business Breakfast with Isaac Matshego, Nedbank and Cape Town Marriot Hotel Crystal Towers
29 May 2025
Topic: The outlook for the SA economy amid uncertain domestic and global environments
Isaac Matshego is a leading economist at Nedbank, specialising in Sub-Saharan Africa. He brings deep expertise in macroeconomics, sovereign debt, and exchange rate forecasting. Holding a master’s degree in Development Finance from the University of Cape Town, Isaac is also a well-respected media commentator on economic trends and South Africa’s role in the global economy.
While many assume economists focus solely on numbers and overlook real-life issues, Isaac disagrees. He stresses that economics is fundamentally about people – their livelihoods and well-being.
Turning to global matters, Isaac highlights the effects of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. Trump believes the US is being exploited by other nations, despite America’s dominant political and economic position in the world. Ironically, over the past two decades, US incomes have outpaced those in most other countries, and the US dollar remains globally sought after.
In April, Trump imposed a 30% import tariff on South Africa, affecting key sectors such as automotive, agriculture, mining, wine and citrus exports. This poses a significant challenge, especially considering the deep investment ties between the two countries. For example, Ford’s plant in Pretoria manufactures components for the US market. These economic links underscore the importance of South Africa’s leadership negotiating favourable trade terms to protect local industries and jobs.
Back home, South Africa’s economy has been on a gradual path to recovery since the Covid-19 pandemic, despite setbacks like 2023’s severe loadshedding and 2024’s drought conditions that hit the agricultural sector hard. At one point in 2023, the Minister of Electricity warned the country could reach stage 8 loadshedding heading into winter. However, notable improvements have been made since then. Eskom still provides 90% of the country’s electricity, but the growth of renewable energy has started to ease the strain.
Recent economic data suggests consumers are in a better position than they were two years ago, thanks to lower inflation and interest rates. Yet many households remain financially strained and need continued support.
This year’s budget speech avoided a VAT increase, with both a proposed 2-percentage-point and a 1-percentage-point hike being rejected. Aside from an increase in the fuel levy – which is the first since 2022 – the budget remained relatively conservative. Fortunately, the fuel levy hike is something consumers may be able to absorb.
A persistent issue, however, is inefficient government spending. Instead of addressing inefficiencies, the state often seeks ways to fund the strained and inefficient system. This remains a key obstacle to sustainable growth.
While South Africa faces many challenges (shared by numerous developing nations) there are encouraging signs of improvement. The message from Isaac’s speech is clear: progress must accelerate. The country needs to focus on boosting incomes, creating job opportunities, and investing in skills development. By steering the economy in the right direction, South Africa will be better equipped to address its broader socio-economic challenges.
Ubuntu Members can access the recording from the event! Find out more…
A big thanks to our sponsors and partners for being part of our journey!
We have a great appreciation for our event sponsor Nedbank and our venue sponsor Cape Town Marriot Hotel Crystal Towers for making this event possible!
A huge thanks to our Tech and AV crew Inhouse VTM and our media crew Shed Studios for capturing our events.
To our partners Amy Foundation, Nexia SAB&T, Sure Travel, Glue Up, Paysoft Impact, International Hotel School and WORD Magazine we truly value our collaborations together!

